Our expertise

Strategic intelligence
and risk forecasting

Mapping

your risks

Analyze

weak signals

Anticipate

threats

Objectives

of the Monitoring and Forecasting department

Anticipation is essential to ensure business resilience in the face of rapidly evolving economic, reputational and cyber threats that can compromise competitiveness and security. At Semkel, we combine strategic intelligence and advanced technologies to map and analyze risks in real time. By identifying weak signals, we help our customers anticipate and neutralize threats before they become critical.

Our proactive approach makes intelligence a strategic decision-making tool, offering enhanced protection against market uncertainties and informational or digital attacks. Thanks to our global vision of risks, we can intervene with precision, whether to secure an investment or preserve the integrity of our customers' activities.

Our methods

A unique approach

Semkel's hybrid approach combines Cyber Threat Intelligence, Open Source Intelligence (OSINT/SOCMINT) and Business Intelligence, offering in-depth risk analysis and proactive threat anticipation.

Risk mapping

Identification of industry-specific economic, reputational and cyber threats - Risk ranking by impact and probability.

Analysis of weak signals

Monitoring high-impact trends and events - Exploiting open sources (OSINT) and the deep/dark web to detect early warning signals.

Anticipating risks

Development of scenarios and risk mitigation plans - Implementation of active and reactive monitoring - Strategic support and actionable recommendations

Implementation

Use cases

Sector watch

A shrinking market

25% of your business depends on a country whose regime change threatens your company.

 

Our approach

  • Strategic intelligence gathering
  • Creation of a think-tank including geopolitical experts, stakeholder mapping, etc.
  • Monitoring the situation hour by hour
  • Development of different response scenarios

 

Results

Thanks to proactive anticipation, the company can reallocate its resources and strengthen its presence in other markets before restrictions definitively compromise its business.

competitive intelligence

Supplier compromise

The ownership structure of a strategic supplier changes. The new shareholder is also a shareholder in your main competitor. This information is key to anticipating future supply disruptions or unequal treatment.

 

Our approach

  • Governance analysis
  • Coordinate with lawyers to gather evidence of collusion, develop mitigation solutions.

 

Results

Thanks to proactive strategic and competitive intelligence, the company can secure its supplies, engage in discussions with alternative suppliers and anticipate any unfair practices on the part of competitors.

Cyber watch

One DDOS can hide another

For several weeks now, massive DDoS attacks have been targeting the digital infrastructures of the Dutch maritime sector, paralyzing port management systems and disrupting maritime logistics. Our customer, a company based at the port of Le Havre, relies on interconnected systems with affected players, and could be the next target.

 

Our approach:

  • Sector threat status monitoring
  • Extending the scope to interdependent digital assets

 

Results

By detecting this risk, we enable our customer to prepare his teams for an attack and, in anticipation, to reinforce their infrastructure.

The offer

2 possibilities

Safety Scan

A Safety Scan is a one-off audit carried out at a specific point in time to assess the economic, reputational and cyber threats to a company, organization or manager. This strategic inventoryidentifies vulnerabilities, anticipates risks and maps existing threats, enabling the implementation of appropriate preventive and corrective actions.

Our areas of analysis

  • Strategic risk mapping: identification of economic, reputational and cyber threats affecting the organization.
  • Analysis of weak signals and vulnerabilities: detecting risk factors before they materialize.
  • Sector and competitive threat assessment: monitoring market dynamics, competition and attempts at destabilization.
  • Information exposure audit: analysis of potential leaks of sensitive data and current or emerging information attacks.

 

Thanks to Safety Scan, companies and organizations have a clear view of the threats they face, and can anticipate and structure their protection strategies to secure their business and strengthen their resilience.

Safety Monitoring

Safety Monitoring is a continuous, proactive approach toanticipating and tracking economic, reputational and cyber threats in real time. Unlike Safety Scan, which provides a snapshot in time, this dynamic approach ensures early detection of risks and rapid reaction to emerging threats.

Our watchwords

  • Real-time monitoring of economic, reputational and cyber risks: identification of developments likely to impact the organization.
  • Detecting weak signals: anticipating potential crises through advanced monitoring of key players, trends and events.
  • Monitoring media, social networks and the dark web: identifying information leaks, malicious rumors or informational attacks.
  • Strategic alert and support: real-time analysis and recommendations for informed decision-making and rapid reaction.

 

Thanks to Safety Monitoring, companies and organizations benefit from a real-time view of threats, strengthen their ability to act quickly in the face of emerging risks, and secure their activities for the long term.

Start protecting your economic and digital interests now

+33 (0) 4 78 51 13 70

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